![JUSTIN SMIRK - r A Senior Economist with Westpac’s Economic Research team and has 17 years experience in Australia’s Financial Markets. r He joined Westpac in 1999 following his early training as an Economist at the Reserve Bank of Australia. r Since then Justin has had a varied experience with Westpac working with and advising traders, dealers, Treasury as well as Westpac’s institutional, corporate and small business clients. r He has spent time in Westpac’s London office as Senior International Economist and in 2010 he had a twelve month secondment as Chief Economist at St. George Bank. r On his return to Westpac, Justin’s focus turned to the labour market and prices but he also keeps a keen eye on the international economy and in particular commodity markets and the resources sector. r He also canvasses issues related energy, carbon and the environment. JUSTIN SMIRK - r A Senior Economist with Westpac’s Economic Research team and has 17 years experience in Australia’s Financial Markets. r He joined Westpac in 1999 following his early training as an Economist at the Reserve Bank of Australia. r Since then Justin has had a varied experience with Westpac working with and advising traders, dealers, Treasury as well as Westpac’s institutional, corporate and small business clients. r He has spent time in Westpac’s London office as Senior International Economist and in 2010 he had a twelve month secondment as Chief Economist at St. George Bank. r On his return to Westpac, Justin’s focus turned to the labour market and prices but he also keeps a keen eye on the international economy and in particular commodity markets and the resources sector. r He also canvasses issues related energy, carbon and the environment.]()
JUSTIN SMIRK -A Senior Economist with Westpac’s Economic Research team and has 17 years experience in Australia’s Financial Markets. r He joined Westpac in 1999 following his early training as an Economist at the Reserve Bank of Australia. r Since then Justin has had a varied experience with Westpac working with and advising traders, dealers, Treasury as well as Westpac’s institutional, corporate and small business clients. r He has spent time in Westpac’s London office as Senior International Economist and in 2010 he had a twelve month secondment as Chief Economist at St. George Bank. r On his return to Westpac, Justin’s focus turned to the labour market and prices but he also keeps a keen eye on the international economy and in particular commodity markets and the resources sector. r He also canvasses issues related energy, carbon and the environment.
Compiled by RACHNA LAL
Welcome to Hard Talk, where we pose questions to both top executives and budding entrepreneurs on some of the major issues involving business.
The Governor of the Reserve Bank of Fiji has rightfully pointed out that with Fiji being an open economy, global events will find its way back here in one form or another.
But the recent slowdown forecast for most of our trading partners has not affected Fiji’s recent domestic output and forecasts.
Our gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast for this year has been upgraded to 2.7 per cent as opposed to 2.5 per cent forecast last year.
And while it is known that investment is the driver of growth, it is the private sector that has been recognised as the engine.
Governor Barry Whiteside has indicated that this year, growth is being led by agriculture, manufacturing, finance and construction sectors.
A critical part for these sectors however is the banking sector which provides loans for projects to progress, therefore a bank’s commitment becomes critical for growth.
We now have five banks in the country with one more due to open by next year.
But no-one will be able to take the title away from Westpac Fiji as the longest-serving bank here which will be turning 112 in August this year.
The bank started its operations in 1901 and today proudly boasts a significant portion of market share in Fiji.
We spoke to Westpac senior economist Justin Smirk who has 17 years of experience with Australian financial market.
Mr Smirk was recently in Fiji as a speaker during the Fiji Institute of Accountants congress and speaker at two Westpac-organised economic forums in Suva and Lautoka.
Questions for Justin Smirk, senior economist at Westpac Banking Corporation:
1. How would you describe the current economic climate in Fiji when compared to say 10 years ago?
It is very hard for me to make a fair judgment on the economic climate compared to where it was 10 years ago as I had no exposure to the economy then.
The best I can say is the year I have been visiting Fiji, there appears to be embryonic sign of growing optimism inside Fiji. This very early development of a more positive business sentiment is something that should be nurtured and encouraged.
2. What would you say can be done to grow the economy further?
Encourage investment by reducing the complexity of doing business in Fiji would a very easy way to gain faster growth. And focus on what you do best first and promote and nurture such industries before moving into new and more exotic industries.
3. What are some areas in which potential exists to grow the economy?
Tourism has room to grow, not just by capturing more market shares in the existing markets but by also expanding into opportunistically into new markets.
Given low labour costs, and central location in the Pacific region, there is scope for opportunistic manufacturing for food production, small lines of fast fashion as well as the development of a regional business services hub.
4. As someone with 17 years of experience with Australian financial market, how would you describe the Fijian banking sector?
It is a developing industry that is currently based on provision of saving and lending products. There is scope for the industry to grow further but this would also require further work to improve the financial literacy of a large part of the population.
The development of mobile banking solutions will also go a long way to bring financial services to remote locations.
5. We currently have five commercial banks and one more might be starting by next year. What’s your view on having so many banks in the country with an economy our size?
It is not the number of banks that matter but the behaviour of the banks that counts in regards to overbanking. An overbanked economy normally exhibits excess credit growth as banks lower credit standards, and margins, in an attempt to grow market share from a limit pie. This does not appear to be the case in Fiji.
6. As someone who closely monitors the financial markets, how much is Fiji dependent on the financial assistance we get from Australia and New Zealand?
The financial assistance from Australia and New Zealand does provide a valuable contribution to the Fijian economy. But far more important to Fiji is the trade and business links between the three nations.
While expanding Fiji’s trade and business opportunities beyond it two largest neighbours is a strategic move, easy gains can be made by improving the linkages between these three economies due to deep historical, social and cultural relationships, something that would require decades to build with other nations.
7. After the Fijian dollar was devalued a few years back, what sort of impact (positive and/or negative) has it had on Fiji?
The fall in the Fijian dollar naturally makes Fijian exports more competitive but it also raised the price of many goods that Fiji has to import so it is an inflationary move. It also lowest the value of Fijian assets so Fijian are then less wealthy relative to other countries.
In addition foreigners who hold Fijian assets find their wealth has been reduced by the fall in the currency. But local manufactures and service providers would now look more competitive to imported alternatives. As with many things in economics there are always winners and losers.
8. If the Fijian dollar becomes stronger, what will this mean for Fiji?
The first question I would ask is why do you want a stronger dollar? As noted there are always winners and losers and in this example they would just be the reverse of above.
Generally however, a stronger currency is associated with rising productivity, rising incomes (relative to the rest of the world) and improving international financial balances – i.e. running current account deficits and accumulating net asset rather than net debt positions.